2024 Presidential polls and projections

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Burning Petard
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Burning Petard »

I am more interested in Congress. The GOP has had at least 6 years of Gerrymandering to get safe districts, and their current strategy of fixing the local vote counting system. I am anxious to see how that works out.


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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

The Michigan flip happened on Friday, but I haven't been around to check it.

Harris 277
Trump 261


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Crackpot
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Crackpot »

While I have been seeing an uptick in the Trump signs I don’t see that as lasting.
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BoSoxGal
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by BoSoxGal »

It’s only anecdotal and I live in a hotbed of liberalism but the rural conservative towns where I work I have seen fewer signs in recent weeks - houses that had them out have removed them. It doesn’t mean they are changing their votes of course, but some shame is emerging it seems. That suggests a return to normalcy.
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Crackpot
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Crackpot »

I see Ohio turned pink. I don’t think the Cat eating is going to work in Trumps favor there
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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

Trump now has only a 4 point lead in Iowa (down from 18 points against Biden) and leads by 5 points in Alaska.
DEI: Definitely Earned It
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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

Harris 292
Trump 246


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DEI: Definitely Earned It
“Because you have to be twice as good to get half as far.”
—The Ancestors

“I'm not courageous, I'm surrounded by cowards”
—Adam Kinzinger

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Crackpot
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Crackpot »

In a slightly related note. MTG seems to be acting far more sane lately. Is she worried about her election chances?
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Big RR
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Big RR »

I doubt it; like Trump, she lacks the ability of self awareness. Maybe being a full time ass is exhausting and she needs a break.

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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

These changes were posted yesterday but I neglected to check.

Harris 276
Trump 235
Ties 27


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DEI: Definitely Earned It
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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

Harris 276
Trump 262


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DEI: Definitely Earned It
“Because you have to be twice as good to get half as far.”
—The Ancestors

“I'm not courageous, I'm surrounded by cowards”
—Adam Kinzinger

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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

Harris 292
Trump 246


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DEI: Definitely Earned It
“Because you have to be twice as good to get half as far.”
—The Ancestors

“I'm not courageous, I'm surrounded by cowards”
—Adam Kinzinger

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datsunaholic
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by datsunaholic »

Scooter wrote:
Fri Sep 27, 2024 4:17 pm
Harris 292
Trump 246


Image
I don't understand the last 2 maps - there's a 16 electoral count swing, and the only difference in the map colors is NM became LESS blue.
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Crackpot
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Crackpot »

North Carolina
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datsunaholic
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by datsunaholic »

Crackpot wrote:
Fri Sep 27, 2024 8:50 pm
North Carolina
They're both red outlines in the maps I see.
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Crackpot
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Crackpot »

There are a lot of “Harris” ads round here touting her support for Israel. Being generally turned off by political ads it took me a while to figure out these are intended to be smear ads (some are far less subtle than others) due to the larger than average Arabic population around here.
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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

To answer datsun's question, I'm not sure where those Sep 27 counts came from, I think it was originally an error that got quickly corrected, because the count for that day now shows Harris 276 to Trump 262 as it did on the previous days. Lots of polling but really no movement since.

Harris 276
Trump 251
Ties 11


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DEI: Definitely Earned It
“Because you have to be twice as good to get half as far.”
—The Ancestors

“I'm not courageous, I'm surrounded by cowards”
—Adam Kinzinger

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Crackpot
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Crackpot »

I get the impression that pollsters are having a difficult time susing out who is a “likely voter”
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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

Harris 251
Trump 251
Ties 36


Image
DEI: Definitely Earned It
“Because you have to be twice as good to get half as far.”
—The Ancestors

“I'm not courageous, I'm surrounded by cowards”
—Adam Kinzinger

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Scooter
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Re: 2024 Presidential polls and projections

Post by Scooter »

Harris 247
Trump 246
Ties 45


Image
DEI: Definitely Earned It
“Because you have to be twice as good to get half as far.”
—The Ancestors

“I'm not courageous, I'm surrounded by cowards”
—Adam Kinzinger

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